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Red35
14838.5
23126.6
Blue6
101020.3
11840.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64600204080100120140356

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
Unranked
38.50.3
38.238.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
118
Unranked
40.60.3
40.139.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
231
Unranked
26.60.3
26.326.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1010
Unranked
20.30.3
19.919.6
Auto
Teleop
End