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Red9
117217.0
28125.7
Blue94
41418.3
109921.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572604080100120994

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
Unranked
25.77.3
33.025.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1099
Unranked
21.97.3
14.621.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1172
Unranked
17.07.3
24.317.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
414
Unranked
18.37.3
11.018.3
Auto
Teleop
End