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Red105
97724.4
58727.2
Blue49
51025.6
10542.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40405060709010549

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
Unranked
27.23.5
21.424.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
510
Unranked
25.63.5
21.618.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
977
Unranked
24.43.5
18.321.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.4
1054
Unranked
2.911.8
2.914.7
Auto
Teleop
End