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Red10
8377.2
4163.6
Blue101
44830.5
38429.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2341010015020010101

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
837
Unranked
7.24.5
13.99.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.3
448
Unranked
30.54.5
19.924.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
416
Unranked
3.64.5
8.64.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.8
384
Unranked
29.44.5
21.325.8
Auto
Teleop
End