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Red49
33927.6
54016.4
Blue28
38822.6
61724.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365002060801001201401604928

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
Unranked
27.62.2
26.528.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
617
Unranked
24.82.2
28.626.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
540
Unranked
16.42.2
9.211.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
388
Unranked
22.62.2
21.018.8
Auto
Teleop
End