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Red130
62335.9
62020.8
Blue48
61110.0
10960.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56190408010012014016013048

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
Unranked
35.92.8
35.137.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.8
611
Unranked
10.02.8
13.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
620
Unranked
20.82.8
20.623.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.9
1096
Unranked
0.92.8
5.82.9
Auto
Teleop
End