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Red31
22319.8
33714.9
Blue43
9262.8
76917.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4214060801001201403143

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
Unranked
19.82.5
20.718.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
769
Unranked
17.62.5
13.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
337
Unranked
14.92.5
21.218.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
926
Unranked
2.82.5
0.53.0
Auto
Teleop
End