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Red100
43513.3
40422.3
Blue12
122214.4
109921.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3536020608010010012

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
404
Unranked
22.35.6
17.723.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1099
Unranked
21.99.2
21.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
435
Unranked
13.35.6
17.723.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1222
Unranked
14.41.7
14.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End