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Red30
40114.9
33714.9
Blue43
97617.7
22319.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363202060801003043

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
337
Unranked
14.91.1
18.717.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
223
Unranked
19.81.1
18.219.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
401
Unranked
14.91.1
17.216.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
976
Unranked
17.71.1
13.614.6
Auto
Teleop
End