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Red114
61426.6
117217.0
Blue118
40422.3
34618.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52430206080100120114118

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
Unranked
26.60.8
27.226.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
404
Unranked
22.30.8
22.823.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1172
Unranked
17.00.8
25.124.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
346
Unranked
18.10.8
20.421.2
Auto
Teleop
End