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Red8
109313.6
10960.9
Blue42
42229.1
34510.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163906080100120842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1093
Unranked
13.60.7
14.313.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.5
422
Unranked
29.10.7
29.229.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1096
Unranked
0.90.7
1.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
345
Unranked
10.20.7
9.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End