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Red31
40544.3
51025.6
Blue10
38429.4
38822.6
63%Model gave it37%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705101001502003110

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
405
Unranked
44.30.0
44.244.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.8
384
Unranked
29.40.0
29.028.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
510
Unranked
25.60.0
25.525.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
388
Unranked
22.60.0
22.222.1
Auto
Teleop
End