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Red40
36843.6
56810.9
Blue64
115827.6
49229.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524601001504064

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
Unranked
43.61.5
36.434.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
492
Unranked
29.01.5
27.629.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
568
Unranked
10.91.9
15.313.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.7
1158
Unranked
27.64.9
25.020.1
Auto
Teleop
End