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Red120
19013.3
47311.0
Blue24
62816.4
9557.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25252040608010012024

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
Unranked
13.33.6
6.19.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
628
Unranked
16.46.0
15.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
473
Unranked
11.06.0
19.325.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
955
Unranked
7.56.0
9.93.9
Auto
Teleop
End