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Red39
8050.5
115827.6
Blue27
82410.0
115722.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352802060801001201401603927

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1158
Unranked
27.60.4
22.923.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
1157
Unranked
22.00.4
7.97.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
805
Unranked
0.50.4
11.812.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
824
Unranked
10.00.4
20.520.2
Auto
Teleop
End