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Red40
95727.7
94825.1
Blue55
44330.4
75315.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28370501001502004055

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
Unranked
27.70.4
12.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
443
Unranked
30.40.4
17.718.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
948
Unranked
25.10.4
15.515.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
753
Unranked
15.70.4
19.519.9
Auto
Teleop
End