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Red128
8007.7
94921.5
Blue65
11694.2
11909.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4035020608010012012865

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
949
Unranked
21.53.7
26.530.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
1190
Unranked
9.03.7
17.213.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
800
Unranked
7.73.7
13.417.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1169
Unranked
4.23.7
18.214.6
Auto
Teleop
End