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Red146
23353.1
47311.0
Blue85
48813.5
62816.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6731020408010012014016014685

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
Unranked
53.10.9
46.046.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 36.7
628
Unranked
16.41.5
13.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
473
Unranked
11.01.5
21.422.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
488
Unranked
13.51.5
17.215.7
Auto
Teleop
End