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Red9
83331.5
11422.2
Blue4
99828.9
95922.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4756010015020094

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
833
Unranked
31.50.8
25.626.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
998
Unranked
28.90.8
32.331.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
114
Unranked
22.20.5
21.121.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
959
Unranked
22.80.8
23.823.0
Auto
Teleop
End