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Red32
9557.5
62816.4
Blue90
23353.1
113315.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2565040801001201401603290

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
628
Unranked
16.40.9
17.616.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 36.7
233
Unranked
53.10.7
50.250.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
955
Unranked
7.50.9
7.26.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
1133
Unranked
15.40.9
14.515.4
Auto
Teleop
End