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Red100
95615.2
105614.7
Blue27
8050.5
8007.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3939305060709010027

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
956
Unranked
15.24.5
20.725.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
800
Unranked
7.74.5
20.616.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1056
Unranked
14.78.1
14.722.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
805
Unranked
0.54.5
18.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End