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Red64
23353.1
36843.6
Blue4
83331.5
11422.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95540204080120140160644

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
Unranked
53.10.2
52.152.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.6
833
Unranked
31.50.3
31.831.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
368
Unranked
43.60.2
42.542.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.4
114
Unranked
22.20.2
22.422.2
Auto
Teleop
End