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Red32
58130.7
19013.3
Blue52
115827.6
49229.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445801001502003252

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
Unranked
30.70.1
30.830.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
492
Unranked
29.00.1
29.729.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
190
Unranked
13.30.1
13.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.3
1158
Unranked
27.60.1
28.528.6
Auto
Teleop
End