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Red125
55526.0
47640.1
Blue190
3359.4
7168.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391490100200250300125190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
476
Unranked
40.15.6
34.039.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.1
71
Unranked
68.34.0
75.979.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
555
Unranked
26.05.6
17.022.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 33.4
33
Unranked
59.44.0
61.265.2
Auto
Teleop
End