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Red55
52139.7
14734.0
Blue135
23753.3
17843.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7410105015020025055135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
521
Unranked
39.71.7
41.339.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.6
237
Unranked
53.32.8
57.960.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
147
Unranked
34.01.7
35.734.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
178
Unranked
43.12.8
40.443.1
Auto
Teleop
End