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Red65
85816.3
37847.3
Blue115
10249.7
97426.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7067020408010012014016065115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
Unranked
47.30.3
52.051.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
102
Unranked
49.73.5
46.249.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
858
Unranked
16.30.3
16.516.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
974
Unranked
26.13.5
22.726.1
Auto
Teleop
End