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Red70
45923.2
69212.5
Blue100
18844.1
90018.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266405010015070100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
459
Unranked
23.23.0
20.223.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.8
188
Unranked
44.13.0
44.547.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
692
Unranked
12.53.0
9.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
900
Unranked
18.03.0
14.918.0
Auto
Teleop
End