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Red135
10249.7
5655.8
Blue100
100242.0
6538.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10074050150200250135100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
Unranked
55.82.8
58.661.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
1002
Unranked
42.01.8
42.143.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
102
Unranked
49.74.4
38.542.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
65
Unranked
38.41.8
34.236.0
Auto
Teleop
End