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Red10
6069.2
114039.2
Blue125
49445.9
90018.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4890015020025010125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1140
Unranked
39.23.2
41.638.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
494
Unranked
45.93.0
65.268.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
606
Unranked
9.23.2
10.57.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
900
Unranked
18.04.3
20.424.7
Auto
Teleop
End