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Red190
53835.0
4559.9
Blue25
17843.1
115812.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9356015020025019025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
Unranked
59.97.6
65.873.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.8
178
Unranked
43.13.2
42.639.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
538
Unranked
35.010.1
23.533.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.0
1158
Unranked
12.03.5
17.413.9
Auto
Teleop
End