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Red80
80632.6
136924.7
Blue35
52139.7
45923.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39710501001502008035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
806
Unranked
32.63.5
29.132.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
521
Unranked
39.73.0
47.344.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1369
Unranked
24.73.8
12.916.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
459
Unranked
23.22.7
20.217.5
Auto
Teleop
End