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Red80
139619.5
23136.9
Blue25
39929.2
83617.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5342020801001201408025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
Unranked
36.92.6
28.631.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
399
Unranked
29.21.8
23.621.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1396
Unranked
19.52.3
23.525.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
836
Unranked
17.11.4
19.418.0
Auto
Teleop
End