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Red50
52139.7
124153.9
Blue65
71641.7
92219.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105660501502002505065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
Unranked
53.93.8
56.352.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
716
Unranked
41.70.4
48.748.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
521
Unranked
39.74.2
44.340.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.9
922
Unranked
19.80.4
21.120.7
Auto
Teleop
End