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Red30
34220.1
45923.2
Blue150
10249.7
3359.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339805015020025030150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
459
Unranked
23.20.8
17.516.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 36.2
33
Unranked
59.44.4
52.156.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
342
Unranked
20.10.9
22.721.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.6
102
Unranked
49.75.9
39.245.1
Auto
Teleop
End