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Red35
111214.6
11156.4
Blue175
31645.1
5655.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6511705010015020025030035175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
Unranked
56.42.7
61.058.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
56
Unranked
55.84.8
68.673.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1112
Unranked
14.63.0
10.07.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.5
316
Unranked
45.14.8
42.947.6
Auto
Teleop
End