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Red50
87039.0
39929.2
Blue125
43543.8
49445.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43121010015020025030050125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
Unranked
39.00.1
29.829.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
494
Unranked
45.90.9
66.066.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
399
Unranked
29.20.2
21.821.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.6
435
Unranked
43.80.9
47.047.9
Auto
Teleop
End