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Red150
111214.6
7168.3
Blue115
49445.9
94558.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67148050100200250300350150115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
Unranked
68.35.6
68.874.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
945
Unranked
58.61.8
72.770.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1112
Unranked
14.65.6
7.012.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.3
494
Unranked
45.91.8
66.965.1
Auto
Teleop
End