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Red80
136924.7
53835.0
Blue100
44817.2
11156.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4074010015020025080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
538
Unranked
35.02.7
29.532.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.4
111
Unranked
56.42.2
58.360.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1369
Unranked
24.72.7
13.916.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
448
Unranked
17.22.5
11.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End