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Red50
20123.7
80632.6
Blue65
37847.3
38626.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions558101001502005065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
806
Unranked
32.60.6
32.331.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
378
Unranked
47.31.1
45.844.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
201
Unranked
23.70.6
25.625.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
386
Unranked
26.71.0
32.031.0
Auto
Teleop
End