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Red85
10249.7
131540.2
Blue140
64850.9
31645.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86115020030040085140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
Unranked
49.70.4
47.046.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
648
Unranked
50.92.6
64.166.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1315
Unranked
40.20.4
42.442.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
316
Unranked
45.12.1
47.649.8
Auto
Teleop
End