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Red105
38626.7
23753.3
Blue110
39929.2
33046.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8974050100150105110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
Unranked
53.31.3
56.657.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
330
Unranked
46.02.6
50.352.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
386
Unranked
26.71.3
31.032.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
399
Unranked
29.22.6
25.628.2
Auto
Teleop
End