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Red30
84218.7
86117.0
Blue70
69625.1
6419.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32320204060803070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
Unranked
18.70.2
16.716.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
696
Unranked
25.14.7
18.623.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
861
Unranked
17.00.2
14.914.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
64
Unranked
19.84.7
13.918.6
Auto
Teleop
End