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Red20
6988.1
33046.9
Blue10
58525.7
89815.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462801001502010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
Unranked
46.93.0
25.422.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.1
585
Unranked
25.72.5
17.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
698
Unranked
8.13.0
18.415.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
898
Unranked
15.62.5
12.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End