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Red15
6419.8
84218.7
Blue5
13937.2
129015.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3628050100150200155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64
Unranked
19.82.5
18.616.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1290
Unranked
15.73.0
16.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
842
Unranked
18.72.5
16.514.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
1393
Unranked
7.23.0
12.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End