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Qual 432004 Arizona Regional
Red40
29415.5
61026.2
Blue10
6419.8
149216.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463302060801001201401604010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
Unranked
26.20.5
30.0→29.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.3
64
Unranked
19.83.0
18.6→15.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
294
Unranked
15.50.5
14.2→13.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.3
1492
Unranked
16.73.0
15.6→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—