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Red0
14569.4
86117.0
Blue15
99114.9
13937.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22180406080100015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
861
Unranked
17.02.7
12.29.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
991
Unranked
14.90.5
9.59.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1456
Unranked
9.42.7
9.76.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1393
Unranked
7.20.5
9.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End