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Red30
134313.3
113619.5
Blue5
99610.8
140115.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3435010203040506070305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1136
Unranked
19.50.5
16.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1401
Unranked
15.23.5
22.018.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1343
Unranked
13.30.5
17.316.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
996
Unranked
10.83.7
12.79.0
Auto
Teleop
End