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Red100
19038.4
87223.4
Blue120
23448.2
69625.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55560204080100120100120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
Unranked
38.43.3
32.635.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
234
Unranked
48.27.6
38.445.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
872
Unranked
23.45.6
22.928.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
696
Unranked
25.17.6
16.624.2
Auto
Teleop
End