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Red35
132423.7
149216.7
Blue5
140115.2
134313.3
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43340206080100120140355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1324
Unranked
23.70.7
24.523.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
1401
Unranked
15.23.3
18.515.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1492
Unranked
16.70.7
17.516.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1343
Unranked
13.33.5
16.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End