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Red30
19223.3
89815.6
Blue55
14569.4
98042.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405202060801001201403055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
Unranked
23.31.4
24.723.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.9
980
Unranked
42.20.5
41.842.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
898
Unranked
15.61.4
16.915.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1456
Unranked
9.40.5
8.89.4
Auto
Teleop
End